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USDCAD Tests 200-day MA As Oil, Equities Firm

CANADA
  • After keeping to a narrow range, USDCAD now sits -0.3% at 1.2739 to clear yesterday’s post US CPI low of 1.2751.
  • The move comes from higher oil prices plus earlier support from E-mini S&P drifting higher, with both factors seeing increasing correlation on a 20-day rolling basis (-0.5 WTI, -0.7 ESA).
  • It paves the way for a bearish extension as it tests the 200-dma at 1.2742, below which sits further support at 1.2685 (76.4% retrace of Jun 8 – Jul 14 upleg).
  • CAD once again underperforms other majors on the day though, potentially as a result of closer US linkages following CPI and PPI misses.

Source: Bloomberg

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