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USDCLP Technical Outlook Remains Bearish, Senate Approves PGU

CHILE
  • The Chilean peso is a touch firmer post the open, following yesterday’s bounce in USDCLP from around 800 to just shy of 810. Initial firm resistance is seen at 827.27 the 20-day EMA, Jan 18 high with technical conditions continuing to signal a bearish outlook.
  • Focus after the Fed will turn to the BCCh where currently, 7/10 analysts are expecting the board to hike the overnight rate by 125bps to 5.25%. The remaining three are calling for a bolder 150bp hike. Similar sentiment of hawkish risks are echoed by some analyst within their previews of the meeting. The MNI preview will be published shortly.
  • The Senate approved the project that creates the Universal Guaranteed Pension on Monday, including its financing. The project now advances to the Lower House for its final vote, which would take place on Wednesday.
  • Cabinet appointments and recent pledges suggest President-elect Gabriel Boric’s government will favor a prudent fiscal policy, but difficulties remain, Fitch Ratings analysts reported.
    • Balancing social spending commitments with fiscal consolidation that would stabilize the growing government debt burden will be challenging. (Fitch)

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