December 20, 2024 01:42 GMT
JPY: USD/JPY Off Highs, FinMin Warns On FX Moves, Cross Asset Trends Also Help
JPY
USD/JPY has seen some degree of volatility in the first part of Friday trade. From highs of 157.93 we slipped in recent dealings to 157.15, so close to an 80pip range. We last tracked near 157.25/30, slightly up in yen terms for the session.
- We had fresh FX jawboning from FinMin Kato, which is not surprising given the multi month highs USD/JPY printed on Thursday/earlier today. There comments appeared to in line with usual rhetoric seen (seeing one-sided FX moves, will take action against excessive moves), but *KATO: GRAVELY CONCERNED ABOUT FX MOVES, was a little more eye-catching.
- USD/JPY didn't react immediately, but saw greater downside post the Tokyo fix.
- Cross asset moves have also helped the yen, with US equity futures weighed amid risks of a US government shutdown, as the latest funding measure failed to pass the House. US yields are also down a touch.
- Still, JGB yields are also tracking lower so far today, with US-JP yield differentials mostly tracking higher, particularly for the 10yr tenor.
- For USD/JPY, dips are still likely to be supported. Pre Ueda press conference highs in the pair were around 155.45 yesterday, while the 20-day EMA is much further south at 152.36.
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