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USDMXN Testing Recent Lows, Oil Bolsters BRL, COP

LATAM FX
  • Broad strength in commodities amid a softer greenback is supporting LatAm currencies on Tuesday. Particular strength in oil prices is prompting outperformance in BRL and COP, both rising well over 1%.
  • WTI crude futures have extended back above $80 and now resides at the best levels since November 10. Additionally, with equities bouncing well off their intra-day lows, emerging market fx is performing well with the JPMorgan emerging-market currency index up just shy of 0.5%.
  • Underperforming regional peers is the Mexican peso, however, continued resilience is now placing pressure on short-term support levels for the pair.
  • As noted, with the trend outlook remaining bearish, focus will be on 20.2517, Nov 9 low and 20.1196, Oct 26 low and a key support.
  • Below gives key levels of LatAm markets in current trade:
    • USDMXN down 0.02% at 20.3686
    • USDBRL down 1.38% at 5.5917
    • USDCLP down 0.66% at 830.41
    • USDCOP down 1.17% at 4004.56
    • USDPEN down 0.47% at 3.9156
    • BBG Dollar Index down 0.24% at 1173.37
    • JPMorgan EM Ccy Index up 0.46% at 52.91
    • BBG Commodity Index up 1.4689 points (1.46%) at 102.3297
    • WTI Crude Oil (front-month) up $2.62 (3.35%) at $80.88
    • Gold is up $12.93 (0.72%) at $1814.65
    • Copper Futures up 6.3 (1.45%) at 441.50

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