February 05, 2025 03:24 GMT
PHP: USD/PHP Tests 58.00 Support, Local Equities Rebounding Strongly
PHP
USD/PHP sits in the 58.10/15 in latest dealings, up from earlier lows at 58.00. The pair is sub all key EMAs, except the 200-day (near 57.69). Before that we have some Dec 2024 lows around the 57.70/75 region, which may act as support points. Current spot levels are very close to the 100-day EMA. PHP is up around 0.40% so far today, in line with most SEA currencies being on a firmer footing.
- Cross asset sentiment is helping from the equity space, the PCOMP up around 2% so far today. Technical support may be in play, as the index recently tested sub 6000, which was lows back to 2022, so some dip buying may be present.
- US real yields are also providing some support for PHP, as they continue to move off earlier Jan highs. Like elsewhere in the region correlations with real US yield shifts have remained positive in the past few months (from a USD/PHP standpoint).
- We did have inflation data for Jan earlier, which was slightly above expectations in headline terms. The BSP stated it would take a measured approach to easing, while noting inflation risks are still tilted towards the upside. The central bank meets next week on Thursday.
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