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Very Weak U.S. Retail Sales Report, Markets Take In Stride

DATA REACT

A very weak December U.S. retail sales report including lower revisions: headline -1.9% M/M vs -0.1% expected, with ex-auto/gas -2.5% vs -0.2% expected.

  • Among the notable numbers, control group retail sales (-3.1% M/M vs 0.0% expected), which feeds into the quarterly GDP reading, saw a big revision down to -0.5% Nov (-0.1% previously).
  • Motor vehicles/parts, furniture, electronics, food and beverage, gasoline, clothing, sporting goods, general merchandise, nonstore retailers, restaurants all negative. Full table below.
  • Always caveated by potential seasonal adjustment factors / possibly purchases being brought forward in the year due to anticipated shortages for Xmas / delayed into 2022 due to supply chain issues. Omicron also potentially a factor deterring consumers, as were high prices.
  • Indeed, the report is especially weak in real terms taking into consideration these are nominal figures and CPI inflation was +0.5% M/M in December.
  • Markets largely taking the miss in stride, with Tsys off knee-jerk high; dollar index off 0.1%. UMichigan survey at 1000ET/1500GMT takes center stage before the long weekend.

Source: Census Bureau

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