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VIEW: ASB note that "the RBNZ did not rule.....>

RBNZ
RBNZ: VIEW: ASB note that "the RBNZ did not rule out a negative OCR but has
pledged to hold the OCR at 0.25% until early '21, largely on the basis of fin'l
institutions not being operationally ready. If they stick to this timetable the
additional stimulus may come too late. However, work behind the scenes is likely
advancing & the preparations of fin'l institutions in operating in a -ve OCR
regime have stepped up. We are not yet convinced that a -ve OCR would support
the economy via lowering borrowing interest rates. It might actually be harmful
for credit creation, which is the lifeblood of a healthy economy. This is not to
say that a -ve OCR would not be a useful option in future. All policy options
look to be on the table. The RBNZ have a number of tools in the kitbag which
they have already relaxed, including dropping the LVR restrictions on mortgage
borrowing and relaxing the core funding ratio to 50% of bank funding from 75%.
The RBNZ could look at direct intervention into the interest rate swaps market
(to lower wholesale interest rates) or purchasing mortgage-backed securities. We
are not convinced as to the effectiveness of these approaches, but are open to
persuasion."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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