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VIEW: (further to the earlier bullet)..........>

RBNZ
RBNZ: VIEW: (further to the earlier bullet) Westpac are reaffirming their view
"that the RBNZ will keep the OCR on hold at 1.5% for the remainder of 2019. This
is a finely balanced call. A follow-up cut is possible if the data weakens
further. But as we said on April 3, we expect an economic pickup later this year
to remove thoughts of another OCR cut. Previously, we thought that the
introduction of capital gains tax (CGT) would prompt an OCR cut in 2020. But the
Government has cancelled CGT. That, combined with low mortgage rates, has seen
us shift to forecasting 7% house price inflation next year. Under such
conditions, we no longer see a rationale for cutting the OCR in 2020. We are now
forecasting no change in the OCR until mid-2022."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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