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VIEWS: Bank Desk Views On Today's RBA MonPol....>

RBA
RBA: VIEWS: Bank Desk Views On Today's RBA MonPol Decision:
- RBC: Another steady verdict is universally anticipated & we exp. the key
concluding paragraph to remain unch. Key global developments since the board
last met (weaker equities, mixed activity & ongoing trade tensions) hint at a
cautious tone on the international front but the domestic picture is more mixed.
A stronger labour mkt is likely to give the RBA confidence that slack is being
absorbed & despite the weaker Q3 CPI this supports their long held base case
- TD: Recent data confirms the Bank's optimism. Any changes to forecasts are
likely to be limited to Dec'18 forecasts, while longer term forecasts should
remain largely unchanged.
- Westpac: The RBA will again hold rates unchanged at their November meeting, as
they have since they last cut rates in August 2016. The Governor's decision
statement will repeat the line that: "further progress in reducing unemployment
and having inflation return to target is expected, although this progress is
likely to be gradual". We expect the RBA cash rate to remain unchanged at 1.50%
throughout 2018, 2019, and during 2020.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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