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Wells Fargo: Prime Age Worker Boost

DATA REACT

Wells Fargo has a relatively positive take on the June employment report released today, and highlight the improvement in prime-age worker participation.

  • They point out that it "showed supply constraints may be starting to fade at least slightly. The labor force increased by 151K, and while that wasn't enough to move the needle on the overall participation rate, the participation rate among prime-age workers (25-54) leapt out of its narrow pandemic range. While businesses are still having a hard time filling positions, staffing challenges do not seem quite as dire based on today's pickup in payrolls."
  • In turn, the report "should be encouraging for the Fed", but "a fuller recovery will still take time", even with solid step on the road to 'substantial further progress', we do not think this report will hurry the Fed in its current thinking on when to eventually start tapering."


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