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Westpac write "Consumer inflation.........>

AUSTRALIA
AUSTRALIA: Westpac write "Consumer inflation undershot the RBA's 2-3% target
band in 2018. Headline inflation was 1.8%, including a 0.6% rise in Q4. Core
inflation for Q4 printed at 0.4%qtr, 1.8%yr. Key to this lack of price pressure
are: weak wages growth; a housing downturn; sluggish consumer spending; and
intense retail competition. While the AUD has weakened the pass through of
higher import prices to consumers is limited. For the March quarter, we expect
headline inflation of only 0.1%qtr 1.4%yr. Additional forces at work in the
period are: retreating fuel prices, subtracting 0.2ppts (after adding 0.1ppt in
Q4); and a seasonally soft quarter (-0.2ppts). Core inflation is expected to be
soft, at 0.3%qtr, moderating to 1.6%yr. This follows a couple of quarters at
0.4%."
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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