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UK: Week Ahead

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MARKET INSIGHT
  • Core fixed income is off of its highs overnight (at least at the 10-year tenor) but at the time of writing was starting to press higher once again. Already this morning we have seen better than expected UK November activity data, with GDP growing 0.9%M/M (0.4% expected), with an upwardly revised October and finally moving above pre-pandemic levels.
  • The European morning session has little else for the rest of the morning session (other than Swedish inflation data) with the US once again likely to lead markets later today. Retail sales and industrial production for December will both be closely watched but perhaps even more important will be the inflation surveys within the Michigan confidence data.
  • We note that looking at curves there is a familiar dynamic with US 2s10s flattening (largely from 2-year yields rising), the UK yield curve seeing parallel moves and the German curve steepening a tiny bit.
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