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What to Watch

MARKET INSIGHT
Data still a little slow to get underway, market focus more on Friday's Jan employment report (+150k est vs. +190k prior) and to lesser degree Wed's ADP private employ data (+184k est vs. +807k prior).
  • This morning sees
    • Markit US Manufacturing PMI (55.0, 55.0) at 0945ET
    • At 1000ET:
    • Construction Spending MoM (0.4%, 0.6%) at 1000ET
    • ISMs: New Orders (61.0 rev, 58.0), Mfg (58.8 rev, 57.5), Employ (53.9 rev, 53.0)
    • JOLTS Job Openings (10.562k, 10.300k)
  • Scheduled Fed speak still rather thin after coming out of media blackout late last week. Unscheduled pop-up interviews like Atl Fed Bostic w/FT on Saturday and Yahoo Finance Monday afternoon have been market moving.
    • Philly Fed Harker Bbg interview (moderate, voter 2023) at 0830ET
    • Richmond Fed Barkin (moderate, non-voter) at 1000ET
  • Geopolitical: US Sec of State Antony Blinken and Russia Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov will hold a phone call today. They will discuss the recent NATO and US written responses to Russian security concerns and the heated exchanges at the UN Security Council meeting yesterday. Russia has demanded that the West provide proof that Russia is mobilising for an invasion of Ukraine.

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