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Free AccessWith the RBA's focus on the labour........>
AUSTRALIA: With the RBA's focus on the labour market lets take a look at the
labour component of the NAB survey.
- NAB write "business conditions have fallen to 3pts, returning to the low
reached in December. Driving the fall was a sharp 7pt decline in the employment
index to -1pt, the first negative print since early 2016. Alongside declining
job ads, these data suggest labour market conditions have turned, adding to the
downside risk to the RBA's optimistic outlook for unemployment.
- The employment index declined relatively sharply in the month and is now below
average. Over recent months, the employment index had been one of the few
positive indicators in the survey. While this is a worrying sign, we will watch
future observations to see if this fall is reversed or if in fact it is
signalling a slowing in the labour market.
- Overall, price pressures remain weak across the costs variables (including
wage bill growth), suggesting that in addition to a slowing in the pace of
activity in the business sector, there still remains spare capacity in the
labour market.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.