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Free AccessWon Still Riding The Tech Equity Bull Wave, BoK Mins Out Today
The 1 month USD/KRW downtrend continued post the Asia close, with the pair getting into the 1281/82 region, and a move back above 1286 drew selling interest. We closed back at session lows by the end of the NY session, just under 1282. The won was 0.25% higher in 1 month NDF terms for Monday's session. Onshore spot finished at 1288.20, so the early bias may be to the downside in the pair.
- We aren't too far off late Mar lows near 1274 for the 1 month NDF. A break sub this level could lead to a move into the 1260/70 region, levels last seen in the first half of Feb this year.
- The won continues to ride the better global equity market tone, particularly in the tech space. The MSCI IT index broke to fresh highs in Monday trade, rising nearly 2% and the index is back to levels from late Mar last year. The SOX rose 3.3% and is also at fresh highs back to Q1 last year.
- To recap, the Kospi retreated -0.45% yesterday, while offshore investors sold -230.6mn of local shares. The chart below shows the MSCI IT equity index against the Kospi, which is still providing a positive lead.
- There is no data out today, but note FinMin Choo appears in parliament at 2pm local time, then the BoK Mins from the May decision are out at 4pm.
Fig 1: MSCI IT Versus Kospi
Source: MNI - Market News/Bloomberg
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