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MNI: Goolsbee Criticizes Fed's Dot Plot For Lacking Context

(MNI) OTTAWA

SEP's focus on potential rate moves without underlying economic story 'is mostly just speculation,' Chicago Fed president says.

LATEST INSIGHT

MNI INTERVIEW2: Fed To Cut Once At Most This Year- Ghamami

Sticky inflation means officials must show more patience, former Fed Board economist says.

MNI INTERVIEW: Reforms Aid Brittle Treasury Market-SEC Ghamami

Increased central clearing will help in the longer-run while the Fed's QT pullback should alleviate short-term pressures, says SEC economist.

MNI PODCAST: FedSpeak-SEC’s Ghamami On Treasury Market Reforms

SEC economist Samim Ghamami flags Treasury market fragility, hopes reform efforts can help.

Political Risk

G7 Eyes Plan For $50bn Ukraine Package - Bloomberg

  • Bloomberg reports the G7 is eyeing a US-led plan for a $50bn aid package for Ukraine, according to people familiar with the proposal.
  • The US is pushing for an agreement in Italy in June, but discussions have been difficult and an agreement could still take months.
  • However, "with the massive outlay being repaid with the windfall profits from sovereign Russian assets that have been frozen – and are accruing interest — mostly in Europe", that should heavily limit financing implications.
  • Full story here.

ISM Services Chief On The Sector's Outlook

MNI spoke with the ISM services index chief about the industry's prospects over the rest of the year. On MNI Main Policy Wire now, see sales@marketnews.com for details.

WSJ-Israel Gives Hamas 1 Wk To Back Ceasefire Deal To Avoid Rafah Op

WSJ reportingthat according to Egyptian officials, Israel are giving Hamas one week to agree to a ceasefire deal if it is to avoid an IDF ground operation in the southern Gaza city of Rafah. The current deal would see an initial temporary 40-day ceasefire implemented in exchange for the release of up to 33 hostages held by Hamas, with later phases seeing a six-week ceasefire in exchange for more hostages, and a potential long-term break in hostilities running for up to a year.

  • Egypt is set to host Hamas officials in the coming days to discuss any deal.
  • The potential for the IDF not to begin a ground operation in Rafah goes against long-standing comments from PM Benjamin Netanyahu suggesting that Israeli forces will enter the city whether a ceasefire-for-hostages deal is reached or not. However, WSJ reports that, "behind closed doors, Israeli officials are considering postponing the Rafah invasion indefinitely if a long-term deal is struck, Egyptian officials say."
  • Postponing any incursion into Rafah would go some way to reducing the strained tensions between Israel and its allies. Even the US, Israel's staunchest supporter, has frequently called for no Rafah operation without a 'credible plan' for avoiding mass civilian casulaties.

Reforms Aid Brittle Treasury Market-SEC Ghamami

MNI interviews an SEC economist on Treasury market liquidity concerns -- On MNI Policy MainWire now, for more details please contact sales@marketnews.com

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