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Bear Flattening As 10Y Struggles To Break 3%

US TSYS
  • A more front-loaded rate path, exemplified by Nomura now calling for consecutive 75bp hikes, has seen an acceleration on yesterday’s bear flattening in cash Tsys.
  • With taper plans seen largely baked in at least for now, the curve has flattened as longer-term growth concerns are considered and 10Y yields struggle to break 3%, driving 2s10s to 18bps from a recent high of 43bps on Tuesday.
  • 2YY +6.7bps at 2.749%, 5YY +3.7bps at 3.011%, 10YY +2.4bps at 2.934% and 30YY +2.0bps at 2.948%.
  • The move sees TYM2 reinforce the underlying bearish condition. It sits down 6+ ticks at 118-17+ having pulled back from an earlier low of 118-08 that now forms initial support, with volumes above average through the European morning but levelling off.
  • Data: Only the sweep of preliminary S&P Global PMIs for April at 0945ET.
  • No issuance or scheduled Fedspeak.

Source: Bloomberg

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