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Free AccessLate Stock Rout Adds to Strong Risk-Off Rate Support
Rates continued to climb Tuesday, curves steeper (2s10s +4.674 at 23.449) as short end support remained strong while long end trades off midday highs after the bell, 2YY -.1212 at 2.5045%, 30YY -.0467 at 2.8417%.
- Short end support remained robust as market tamps down on market pricing in chances of 75bp hike(s), back to pricing in nearly five 50bp hikes over the next six meetings.
- Stocks extended rout after the bell, SPX eminis down over 3% after Alphabet Q1 EPS $24.62 Misses $26.11 Estimate, Sales $68.01B Beat $68.00B.
- Geopol risk contributing factor to FI support: Russia's state-run RIA reporting comments attributed to the Russian Ministry of Defence stating that 'London's direct provocation of Kyiv to strike targets on Russian territory will lead to a proportional response'.
- Crude rebounded as Russia moved to sever Poland from gas supplies, tit-for-tatt after Poland sanctions Gazprom among 50 Russian firms and oligarchs. WTO +3.76 in late trade at 102.30.
- Decent 2Y sale, Tsy futures holding firmer (curves steeper) after $48B 2Y note auction (91282CEK3) stops through: 2.585% high yield vs. 2.595% WI; 2.74x bid-to-cover surge vs. last moth's 2.46x.
- After the bell, the 2-Yr yield is down 8.1bps at 2.5443%, 5-Yr is down 6.4bps at 2.7954%, 10-Yr is down 5bps at 2.7701%, and 30-Yr is down 2.3bps at 2.8654%.
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.