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10Y Bond Yield Retraces Sharply Higher Despite Market Uncertainty

CHINA
  • China 10Y yield has been retracing sharply higher this week despite the recent sell-off in equities, which has been mainly driven by the geopolitical uncertainty in Russia and the renewed fears of more regulatory crackdowns imposed by Beijing on private enterprises.
  • Hang Seng Index is down over 5% in the past few days, gradually approaching its January low of 22,709.60.
  • Market uncertainty remains elevated in China despite PBoC announcing clear easing signal recently to stimulate both the economic activity and domestic risky assets.
  • Interestingly, China LT bonds have not been acting as ‘safe’ assets in recent weeks, and the 10Y yield continues to retrace higher this week after breaking back above the 2.804% key level (which corresponds to the 61.8% Fibo retracement of the 2.46% - 3.3580% range).
  • Next ST resistance to watch on the topside stands at 2.8580% (100DMA).
  • Key level to watch on the topside stands at 2.90%, which corresponds to the high of the LT downward trending channel.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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