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10Y Finished Richer After Seeing A Fresh 16-Year High Early On Friday

US TSYS

TYZ3 is trading at 108-25+, +0-03+ from NY closing levels.

  • It was a generally quiet end to a hectic week, with the 10-year yield touching a new 16-year high of 4.5064% before finishing 6ps lower at 4.43%. Friday's better close came despite ‘higher for longer’ messaging from Fedspeak, which reinforced the Fed’s "hawkish hold" earlier in the week.
  • Federal Reserve Governor Michelle Bowman called for "further rate hikes" to bring inflation back to target. At the same time, Boston Fed President Susan Collins said that further tightening is not off the table and emphasised that she expects rates to stay higher for longer. Meanwhile, San Francisco Fed President Daly said it's "unlikely inflation will reach 2% goal in 2024.
  • Tsy futures drew support after Flash PMI data came out mixed: S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (48.9 vs. 48.2 est), Services PMI (50.2 vs. 50.7 est), Composite PMI (50.1 vs. 50.4 est).

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