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10Y Real Yields: CEE and China At the Bottom of The League

EMERGING MARKETS
  • The chart below ranks the 10Y real yields among the most liquid EM economies, adjusted by CPI inflation.
  • As inflation continues to surprise positively in the CEE region, Poland Czech Republic and Hungary currently offer the lowest 10Y real yields after China (PPI) among the EM world (Poland currently offers a 10Y real yield of -3.4%).
  • Even though CEE central banks have been rising rates, the rapid acceleration in inflation in recent months have left real yields at extremely low levels. We saw that Poland recorded its highest inflation in two decades (was 5.8% YoY in September).
  • China (adj. by PPI) remains at the bottom of the League following the surge in PPI inflation in the past few months, currently offering a 10Y real yield of -6.2%.
  • At the top, we still find South Africa and Indonesia currently offering a 10Y real yield of 4.9% and 4.6%, respectively.

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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