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10Y Yield Testing Key Resistance at 2.84%

CHINA
  • China LT bond yields have been retracing higher in the past week, following the global momentum as inflation continues to surprise positively in most of the economies.
  • Even though the accommodative policies adopted by China officials to offset the elevated cost of the ‘zero-Covid’ policy could lead to new downside retracement in China bond yields in the near to medium term, renewed disruptions cause by the latest covid lockdowns are now a greater risk for both domestic and global inflation.
  • The PBoC announced a 25bps cut in the RRR over the weekend (as expected), lowering the required reserve ratio for all financial institutions to 11.25%, lowest level since May 2007 (effective from April 25).
  • China 10Y yield broke back above the 2.8040% ‘pivot’ level this week and is currently testing its key resistance at 2.84%, which corresponds to the high of its LT downward trending channel.
  • A break above that level would open the door for a move up top 2.8630% (200DMA).
  • On the downside, support to watch below 2.8040% stands at 2.7390%, followed by the key 2.6730% level (76.4% Fibo).

Source: Bloomberg/MNI

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