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10y Yields, 1m USD/INR Forwards Dip on EM Index Inclusion Announcement

INDIA
  • 10y government bond yields dipped slightly on the announcement that Bloomberg will include India’s FAR bonds in its emerging market local currency index starting Jan 2025, but the move swiftly reverted higher. Similarly, 1m USD/INR forward outrights dipped marginally, now down around 0.05% on the day, though ranges remain familiarly narrow.
  • As a reminder, JP Morgan will also include Indian government bonds in its Government Bond Index-Emerging Markets from June 2024. JP Morgan said Indian bonds will eventually hold a weight of 10% in its index, following 1% additions to its weightage each month from June.
  • The Nifty and Sensex are down ~0.17% amid a poor showing among the wider major APAC equity indices as China's NPC's attempts to shore up confidence in the economy failed to lift market sentiment.
  • India’s services and composite PMIs both dipped to 60.6 in February, from 61.8 and 61.2, respectively. The local data slate is thin for the remainder of the week, industrial production (prior: +3.8% y/y) and CPI (prior: +5.10% y/y) are the highlights next week.

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