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2s10s Most Inverted Since Late September With FOMC Eyed

US TSYS
  • Cash Tsys trade 1-3bp richer, with the front end consolidating the post-CPI sell-off whilst the longer-end extends the rally instigated by yesterday’s better-received 30Y auction with its first trade through since June.
  • The combination sees 2s10s push to -53.5bps for lows since late September.
  • TYH4 at 110-22+ (+04+) trades at joint session highs but remains below yesterday’s speculative snap higher to 110-31+ just ahead of the CPI data. Firmer resistance is seen at the bull trigger of 111-09+ (Dec 7 high). Volumes are subdued at 240k, unsurprisingly so with Fed ahead.
  • PPI provides a first point of interest with its usual implications for core PCE estimates after yesterday’s CPI report has left some modest preliminary readings. Focus will clearly be on the FOMC decision ahead - MNI Preview here.
  • Fed: FOMC announce/SEP (1400ET), Powell presser (1430ET)
  • Data: Weekly MBA data Dec 8 (0700ET), PPI Nov (0830ET)
  • No issuance

US 2s10sSource: Bloomberg

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