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2s10s Push To Fresh YTD Lows As US Desks Filter In

US TSYS
  • Treasuries have rallied in recent trading, reversing flows from early in the European session as US desks filter in.
  • It pushes push the front-end back to unchanged on the end and the longer-end to richer levels (cash yields now 0-1bp lower on the day), with 2s10s pushing lower to fresh YTD lows of circa -50bps.
  • TYU4 has seen a high of 110-23 on still subdued cumulative volumes of 255k. It tests yesterday’s high of 110-22 in a continuation of the bullish pattern, and with resistance seen at 111-01 (Jun 14 high).
  • The Conference Board consumer survey headlines data but there is also notable Fedspeak as well as the 2Y auction after last month’s 2Y saw the lowest bid-to-cover since 2021.
  • Data: Philly Fed non-mfg Jun (0830ET), Chicago Fed national activity May (0830ET), FHFA and S&P CoreLogic house prices Apr (0900ET), Conf Board consumer survey Jun (1000ET), Richmond Fed mfg Jun (1000ET), Dallas Fed services Jun (1030ET)
  • Fedspeak: Fed Gov Bowman on mon-pol & bank reform (0700ET, text + Q&A), Fed Gov Cook economic outlook (1200ET, text + Q&A) and Fed Gov Bowman recorded open remarks (1410ET, text) - see STIR bullet.
  • Note/bond issuance: US Tsy $69B 2Y Note auction - 91282CKY6 (1300ET)
  • Bill issuance: US Tsy $60B 42D CMB auction (1130ET)

Source: Bloomberg

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