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2Y Yields See Largest One Day Decline Since Early 1980s

US
  • Moves are still fast but with 2Y Tsy yields down 61bps at 3.979%, they’re currently on track for the largest one-day decline since October 1982, easily surpassing the -50bps of Sep 15, 2008.
  • It comes with Fed Funds pricing just 14bp of further hikes seen over what’s left of the cycle (with 13bps priced for next week’s decision) to technically a terminal of 4.69% for the May meeting, down 100bp since Wednesday’s close of 5.69% seen in the September meeting.
  • Cuts have continued to build through the session with 92bps now priced from May to year-end, for comparison from -28bps at Friday’s close and +3bps on Thursday’s close.

Daily change in 2Y Treasury yieldSource: Bloomberg

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