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STIR: 57bp Of BoE Cuts Priced Through '25

STIR

GBP STIRs little changed to a touch more dovish given the tick away from yesterday’s lows in core global FI markets.

  • BoE-dated OIS flat to 1bp more dovish across ’25 contracts. 57bp of cuts priced through year-end, with ~17bp of cuts priced for February, ~21bp of cuts priced through March and ~33bp of easing showing through May.
  • SONIA futures little changed to +2.0. Dec lows still untested through SFIU7.
  • Little of note on the UK data calendar today, meaning focus will be centred on the long end and U.S. data.
  • There is a busier schedule tomorrow, with the BoE DMP, S&P-KPMG-REC report on jobs and comments from BoE’s Breeden due.

BoE Meeting

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GBP STIRs little changed to a touch more dovish given the tick away from yesterday’s lows in core global FI markets.

  • BoE-dated OIS flat to 1bp more dovish across ’25 contracts. 57bp of cuts priced through year-end, with ~17bp of cuts priced for February, ~21bp of cuts priced through March and ~33bp of easing showing through May.
  • SONIA futures little changed to +2.0. Dec lows still untested through SFIU7.
  • Little of note on the UK data calendar today, meaning focus will be centred on the long end and U.S. data.
  • There is a busier schedule tomorrow, with the BoE DMP, S&P-KPMG-REC report on jobs and comments from BoE’s Breeden due.

BoE Meeting

Keep reading...Show less