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Baht Steady After In-Line BoT MonPol Decision

THB

Spot USD/THB trades at THB30.010, marginally below neutral levels, after the BoT took a unanimous decision to leave its benchmark policy rate unchanged, with little to rock the boat in the accompanying statement.

  • The decision was widely expected amid a broader belief that Thailand's central bank has limited monetary policy space at its disposal. The statement featured a familiar phrase noting that policymakers sought "to preserve the limited policy space to act at the appropriate and most effective timing."
  • Policymakers acknowledged that the economy will grow slower than expected, but added that the negative impact of fresh Covid-19 restrictions will be more moderate than last year.
  • The BoT also said that reducing the contribution of lenders to the Financial Institutions Development Fund remains an option. This comes after a reduction implemented last April for a period of two years.
  • Bears look for a dip through Feb 1 low of THB29.888 before taking aim at Jan 4 & 5 lows of THB29.840. Conversely, a break above the 50-DMA at THB30.072 would clear the way to Jan 18 high of THB30.125.
  • FinMin Arkhom Termpittayapaisith gives a speech on Covid-19 vaccination programme & the economic recovery.
  • The University of Thai Chamber of Commerce will publish its consumer confidence gauge later today, with the latest CPI report coming up on Friday.

Bank of Thailand

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