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A few abridged sell-side takes on the.......>
GERMANY: A few abridged sell-side takes on the court decision on PSPP expected
around 0900BST. Consensus is a negative decision = wider periphery spreads:
- MS: "In the unlikely scenario the court votes against PSPP, peripheral spread
widening/EUR weakness over the course of the day should be expected."
- ING: "Given that few expect the court to curtail PSPP altogether, we should
see only a modest relief sell-off in Bund when the decision is published. Worse,
we see room for a temporary widening of sovereign spreads if it adds
restrictions on bond purchases. To be sure, the court does not have jurisdiction
beyond Germany but its ruling cannot be ignored by the ECB."
- Deutsche: "court could remind the euro area (and markets) that the question of
the BBk's participation in future risk mutualisation shouldn't be taken for
granted even as they'll likely accept PSPP... Whilst it would be a major shock
to see a negative ruling the court could still define some conditions re PSPP"
- Nordea: "the court has historically been critical in past similar decisions
and a negative outcome would limit the flexibility of the purchases and cause
adverse moves in peripheral bond spreads."
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.