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MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI China Daily Summary: Friday, July 12
MNI US OPEN - Harris Overtakes Biden in Democratic Nomination Betting Odds
A$ Firms, VIX Back Sub 20%, CPI On Tap Locally
AUD/USD ended Tuesday's session the 3rd strongest performer within the G10 space, slightly shaded by NOK and NZD. The currency gained close to 0.9%, which leaves us at 0.6700/05 currently, near Tuesday session highs. Broad based USD weakness was evident through Tuesday, with the BBDXY ended 0.45% lower.
- Other cross asset signals were muted, with US equities lower (SPX -0.16%), but closing comfortably above session lows. The US VIX continued its recent trend move lower, closing sub 20% for the first time since 8 March.
- US yields were higher, led by the front end (2yr to 4.08%), but this didn't lend much support to the USD. Commodity indices rose, the aggregate index +0.59%, the base metals +0.65%.
- From a technical standpoint, recent A$ gains are still considered corrective. Next upside resistance is at the 50-day EMA, which comes in at 0.6760.
- On the data front today, Feb CPI prints. The market looks for a 7.2% y/y outcome, versus 7.4% prior. The range of estimates is 6.7% to 7.7%.
- This is the last piece major domestic data the RBA will observe before next week's board meeting and was highlighted by Governor Lowe (along with business sentiment, jobs data, and retail sales) as key watch points.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.