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Free AccessA Little Higher In Asia; Growth Worry Takes Focus Over Crude Supply Woes
WTI and Brent are $1.20 firmer apiece at typing, operating a touch above Tuesday’s troughs as debate re: the impact of lower global economic growth on energy demand does the rounds in Asia.
- To recap, both benchmarks shed between $5.50 to $6.00 on Tuesday as worry re: demand destruction arising from lower economic growth in ‘22 helped ease lingering crude supply constraint fears from extremes seen earlier in the year.
- On that topic, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) slashed global economic growth forecasts for ‘22 by 0.8% on Tuesday (4.4% to 3.6%), compounding growth fears (keeping in mind continued worry surrounding the COVID outbreak in China) after the World Bank’s 0.9% downgrade on Monday (4.1% to 3.2%), with both organisations citing Russia’s invasion of Ukraine as a primary driver of the downgrade.
- Elsewhere, RTRS source reports pointed to OPEC+ producing 1.45mn bpd below production targets in March, with Russian crude output reportedly falling 300k bpd short of target, suggesting that well-documented worry re: buyer self-sanctioning and sanctions may be taking effect.
- Turning to the U.S., the latest round of API inventory estimates crossed late on Tuesday, with reports pointing to a surprise drawdown in crude inventories, unwinding some of the build reported last week. An increase in gasoline and Cushing stocks was reported as well, while a drawdown was observed in distillate stockpiles.
- EIA data is due later on Wednesday (1430 GMT), with WSJ estimates calling for a build in U.S. crude inventories, while drawdowns are expected to be seen in gasoline and distillate stockpiles.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.