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A quiet re-open after the space was well....>

US TSYS
US TSYS: A quiet re-open after the space was well bid Monday, with T-Notes
closing just off highs as yields plunged. Early risk-off flows centring on trade
war worry were extended on during the 2nd half of NY trade. Fed voter & noted
dove Bullard stated that "a downward policy rate adjustment may be warranted
soon to help recenter inflation & inflation exp. at target & also to provide
some insurance in case of a sharper-than-exp. slowdown." The move got some extra
legs on the back of a RTRS sources piece noting that "the U.S. DoJ has
jurisdiction for a potential probe of Apple as part of a broader review of
whether tech giants are using their size to act in an anti-competitive manner."
Bull steepening was the order of the day, as markets switched to a more
aggressive tone re: Fed pricing. CME's Fedwatch tool points to mkt pricing a
>50% chance of at least 3 rate cuts end '19. The latest ISM m'fing survey missed
exp., although the employment & prices paid sub-indices rose at a quicker pace.
- Markets will now look to guidance from Fed's Powell & Clarida on Tuesday &
Wednesday respectively. Elsewhere, Fed's Williams & Brainard will speak on
Tuesday, with durable goods & factory orders data also due.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

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