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A Touch Cheaper To Start The Week
Headline flow was muted during Asia-Pac hours, with the NYT providing comments from EU Commission chief Von Der Leyen pointing to U.S. tourists being able to visit the EU in the summer of '21. Headline flow was also light over the weekend, with most of the focus falling on the world looking to help India through its COVID outbreak and continued insistence on the need for targeted fiscal stimulus (and resistance to the use of the reconciliation measure to pass any linked legislation) on the part of moderate U.S. Democratic Senator Manchin.
- The U.S. Tsy space has nudged lower, with T-Notes -0-03+ at 132-10+, 0-01 off lows. There is some light steepening in play in cash trade, 5+-Year Tsys have cheapened by ~1.5bp as of typing. Ranges remain tight. E-minis are now in the green, albeit marginally, while the USD has struggled.
- As a reminder, T-Notes traded a little softer on Friday, in what proved to be an "inside day" for the contract. Light underperformance in the belly of the cash curve was witnessed, with the 5- to 7-Year sector of the curve cheapening by 2.5bp come the bell, as yields finished a touch higher across the Tsy complex. Fresh record highs for the S&P 500 kept a lid on any rallies, as did generally in line to firmer than expected flash PMI data from across the globe and strong domestic new home sales data. A late 2.0K block buy of WNM1 helped ensure that the belly underperformed and knocked the 5-/30-Year cash curve to flattest levels of the day. Elsewhere, late Friday saw U.S. health agencies lift the pause on the use of Johnson & Johnson's COVID vaccine.
- Focus turns to a condensed pre-FOMC supply schedule from the Treasury. Monday's issuance is headlined by the 2- & 5-Year Tsy auctions. Preliminary U.S. durable goods readings are also due to be released on Monday.
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Why MNI
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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.