December 19, 2024 22:56 GMT
BONDS: ACGBs Trade Cheaper, Curve Bear-Steepens
BONDS
- Aussie bonds are trading cheaper this morning, slightly underperforming moves made in US tsys, the ACGB curve has bear-steepened. Later this morning we have private sector credit, however this is unlikely to move markets.
- The move higher in yields comes after concerns grow over US debt supply and stick inflation, with Q3 US GDP growth unexpectedly revised up in the third and final reading, to 3.1% Q/Q annualized from 2.8% prior, and an acceleration from 3.0% prior - representing the best quarterly growth since Q4 2023
- Cash ACGBs are currently trading 1bps to 7bps cheaper, with the curve bear-steepening. The 2yr is +1.4bps at 3.988%, while the 10yr is +6bps at 4.468%. Bonds Futures are lower today, with YM -0.4 & XM at -0.6
- RBA dated OIS has firmed this week with the market now fully pricing in a full cut in April, while there is 72bps of cumlative cuts priced through to December 2025
- The 2s10s curve continues to steepen after hitting a recent low of 33bps, we last trade at 46.5bps
- The AU-US 10yr spread is -10bps, up 1.5bps.
- Swap curves are little changed this morning, while the bill strip is flat to -1
- Today we have Private Sector Credit at 11:30 AEST
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