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Afghan Pullout Deadline Set for Aug 31

US TSYS
Tsys trading weaker after the bell, aside from a large 10k FVU block sale at 123-31.5, rates were under pressure all session with a cautious risk-on tone as equities made new all time highs (ESU1 4491.75).
  • Little direction from mixed data: Richmond Fed's August reading of 9 was well below expectations (24) and a sharp drop from July's reading (27). New home sales were better than expected: +1% TO 0.708M SAAR.
  • Take away the heavy Sep/Dec roll volume and trade was rather muted -- typical for late summer trade. Tsy 10YY climbed to 1.2902% high in late trade, 30YY 1.9079% high. Underlying risk factors remain mixed: deadline for US/Allied pull-out from Afghanistan appears to be Aug 31 as hopes for an extension dashed by Taliban officials. Closer to home: HOUSE DEMOCRATS AGREE ON PATH TO ADVANCE BUDGET, INFRASTRUCTURE, Bbg
  • Meanwhile, the 2Y note sale saw second consecutive stop -- Tsy futures bounced off lows following strong $60B 2Y (91282CCU3) note draws 0.242% vs. 0.252% WI. Bid-to-cover was 2.65x well over 5 month average of 2.53x. Indirect take-up climbs to 60.54% from 52.76% in July (50.94% 5M avg); direct bidder take-up of 21.18% continues to outpace 5M avg of 18.77%; primary dealer take-up falls to 18.28% vs. 5-month average of 30.29%.
  • The 2-Yr yield is up 0bps at 0.2243%, 5-Yr is up 2.3bps at 0.7917%, 10-Yr is up 3.5bps at 1.2868%, and 30-Yr is up 3.4bps at 1.9046%.

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