Free Trial

All Eyes On Georgia

US TSYS

T-Notes hold to a tight range at the re-open, a shade above late NY levels, printing +0-01 at 137-28, with the market showing little reaction to the early Georgia exit poll from CNN (flagged in earlier bullets). Elsewhere, the latest round of headlines covering Sino-U.S. matters (also flagged in previous bullets) seem to have had little impact on broader risk sentiment.

  • This comes after the curve bear steepened on Tuesday, with T-Notes going out near worst levels as 30s cheapened by a little over 5.0bp as equity markets nudged higher (although failed to unwind Monday's losses) and crude oil surged as Saudi Arabia shocked participants with a unilateral 1mn bpd oil output cut, which will be in place over February and March. 10-Year breakevens registered another cycle high against this backdrop, while the 5s/30s curve hit the steepest level seen since late 2016.
  • A strong ISM m'fing manufacturing helped the broader risk-positive tone evident in U.S. hours, with focus on the Senate run-off in Georgia (please click here for our full preview of that event). A late NY morning block sale of USH1 also helped the steepening momentum.
  • We also saw another decent US$ issuance slate build.
  • Elsewhere, there was focus on Monday's Fedspeak, which was headlined by the potential for the tapering of the Fed's asset purchase schemes as we move forwards, albeit against a continued backdrop of ultra-loose monetary policy settings.
  • Developments surrounding the aforementioned Georgia Senate run-offs will headline in Asia-Pac hours (polls close at 19:00 eastern), while the latest round of Chinese Caixin services and composite PMI surveys headline the Asia-Pac docket.
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com
MNI London Bureau | +44 0203-865-3809 | anthony.barton@marketnews.com

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.