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An Ultimately Unchanged US Session

STIR FUTURES
  • After a volatile US session, Fed hike expectations broadly mirror front end Tsy yields being back near where they were as the US came in (but still down notably on the day, 2YY -5.2bps).
  • FOMC-dated Fed Funds show 52bp for Jun, 102bps for Jul, 141bps for Sep and 194bps for Dec, the latter down from a high of 201bp yesterday.
  • George (’22 voter) played down the middle in a CNBC interview: “very comfortable with doing 50bps because I see the combination of that balance sheet runoff taking place” whilst not sounding particularly concerned about the current volatility / downside in financial markets. The nomination hearing for Barr passed without incident.
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