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Analyst Views (Hawkish to Dovish) - 4/5

BOE
Commerzbank"If Saunders is already hesitating, there will probably not be a majority in favor of an interest rate hike in the MPC [this] week."
Daiwa“It is hard to argue that the case for tightening monetary policy this month is any stronger than at the time of the November MPC meeting." Expect Feb22 hike.
Rabobank15bp Feb22 hike "on the provision that the UK’s acquired immunity acts as a wave breaker" against another lockdown. 25bp hike in May22; Bank Rate at 0.50% at end-22.
TD SecuritiesOn hold this week after the govt's Covid restrictions with a 7-2 vote. 15bp hike in Feb22 followed by 25bp hikes in Aug22 and Nov22. Feb22 hike could be delayed if lockdown.

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