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Another Strong Industrial Production Print in June

TURKEY
MNI (London)
  • TURKEY JUN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION +1.3% M/M (FCST 0.0%); MAY +0.5% M/M
  • TURKEY JUN INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION +8.5% Y/Y (FCST +6.7%); MAY +9.0%r Y/Y
  • TURKEY JUN RETAIL TRADE WDA +5.5% Y/Y; MAY +21.2%r Y/Y
  • TURKEY AUG EXPECTED INFLATION NXT 12 MTH +41.99%; JUL +40.23%
  • Turkey saw another strong expansion in industrial production in the June data, increasing by +1.3% m/m and +8.5% y/y, beating forecasts by 1.3pp m/m and 1.8pp y/y.
  • The sub-sectors saw a strong 10.0% y/y increase in manufacturing, which accounts for the bulk of the headline print, whilst mining and quarrying recorded a -7.1% y/y contraction.
  • Turkish IP has continued to expand since July 2020, despite raced with the challenges of factory-gate inflation soaring to +144.6% y/y in July and the lira experiencing a stark depreciation since the end of 2021.
  • Both surging inflationary pressures and continued supply chain disruptions worsened by the Ukraine war could see output slow in the second half of the year.


Source: Turkstat

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