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Another USDCAD Resistance Level Cleared To Set Sights Near A Rare 1.39

CANADA
  • USDCAD at 1.3856 holds the bulk of today’s further climb which has seen a new recent high of 1.3865 on broad-based USD strength to notch a third day in overbought conditions.
  • A reversal of earlier US equity weakness seen after the cash open has done little to move away from those earlier highs, with CAD disappointing on crosses through North American hours having earlier benefited from its linkages to the USD.
  • The latest climb has extended Friday’s clearance of a key 1.3846 (Apr 16 high) to punch through 1.3855 (Nov 10, 2023 high) and set sights on 1.3899 (Nov 1, 2023 high).
  • A dovish BoC continues to weigh on Can-US yield differentials, with the 2Y at -81bps (recent lows of circa -90bps after the first BoC cut of the cycle in June) and the 10Y at -89bps.
  • US data picks up with JOLTS and the Conference Board consumer survey tomorrow but the next major CAD data isn’t until monthly GDP on Wed.

Source: Bloomberg

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