Free Trial

AP, CNN Calls NE-02 For Biden, Opens Path For Win w/o Pennsylvania

US

AP has called Nebraska's second congressional district for Democrat Joe Biden.

  • This gain (Trump won the district in 2016) could prove crucial as it creates a path for Biden to win the presidency even if he does not win Pennsylvania.
  • All focus is on Arizona, Michigan and Wisconsin.
  • Arizona is seen as leaning towards Biden, potentially giving him an additional 11 EC votes. Should Biden win Michigan and Wisconsin he would have 270 EC votes, the threshold required for victory.
Chart 1. Potential Path to Victory for Biden without Pennsylvania


Source: 270towin

The chart above shows a scenario in which Trump wins Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania, as well as Maine's second congressional district, but still loses the presidency. Michigan and Wisconsin would decide the election.

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.