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April FOMC Minutes Preview (1/2): Deutsche Eyeing Fed's Outlook Evolution
The minutes from the Apr 27-28 FOMC meeting are released at 1400ET on Wednesday. A few sell-side previews:
- Deutsche Bank characterizes the minutes as already "somewhat stale", but is still eyeing any signs of the Fed's take on the outlook: "Though the minutes ... will likely be heavily scrutinized for signs of how the Fed's economic outlook has evolved and potential implications for their asset purchase program, they are somewhat stale in light of the lackluster April jobs report and stronger-than-expected inflation data". With regard to the Fed's messaging in general, Deutsche does not expect FOMC members "to express much concern about the recent rise in inflation expectations nor alter their messaging with respect to the near-term policy trajectory".
- BMO FICC is looking to the minutes to "offer insight into the Fed's current thinking on the pace of the recovery and, of course, the risk that inflation picks up in a way that is ultimately considered 'too much' by policymakers". BMO says "the FOMC is content to be behind the curve on inflation this cycle and therefore far more comfortable characterizing consumer pricing pressures as transitory than many investors assume."
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.