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As was the case yesterday, currency.........>

OPTIONS
OPTIONS: As was the case yesterday, currency hedging volumes sit lower than
average for this time of day despite higher activity in GBP options. Hedging for
both GBP/USD and EUR/GBP sits over double recent averages so far Tuesday.
-Interestingly, AUD/JPY markets have been very active thanks to a A$360mln
74.02/75.00 put spread expiring on Sep 10th. The structure breaks even on a move
below around Y74.56.
-Markets remain cautious of further GBP downside, with put demand well exceeding
that of calls so far (over $3 in puts has traded for every $1 in calls).
Volatility bets covering Summer have been popular. One of the larger trades
crossing was consistent with a Gbp100mln $1.19/1.26 strangle rolling off at
end-Sep. Vanilla puts at $1.20, $1.19 and as low as $1.1750 have garnered the
most significant interest.
-Options currently imply around a one in four chance of GBP/USD trading below
the post-referendum lows of $1.1841 by Q4, a probability that's roughly doubled
since Boris Johnson took the position of PM.

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