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Free AccessAs was the case yesterday, currency.........>
OPTIONS: As was the case yesterday, currency hedging volumes sit lower than
average for this time of day despite higher activity in GBP options. Hedging for
both GBP/USD and EUR/GBP sits over double recent averages so far Tuesday.
-Interestingly, AUD/JPY markets have been very active thanks to a A$360mln
74.02/75.00 put spread expiring on Sep 10th. The structure breaks even on a move
below around Y74.56.
-Markets remain cautious of further GBP downside, with put demand well exceeding
that of calls so far (over $3 in puts has traded for every $1 in calls).
Volatility bets covering Summer have been popular. One of the larger trades
crossing was consistent with a Gbp100mln $1.19/1.26 strangle rolling off at
end-Sep. Vanilla puts at $1.20, $1.19 and as low as $1.1750 have garnered the
most significant interest.
-Options currently imply around a one in four chance of GBP/USD trading below
the post-referendum lows of $1.1841 by Q4, a probability that's roughly doubled
since Boris Johnson took the position of PM.
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.