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ASIA/US/EUROPE BD/STK RECAP: TSYS BID;EYE 11AM ET SEN TAX VOTE

     US TSYS SUMMARY: US Treasuries opened NY higher, flatter after US Senate
Thurs night postponed GOP tax bill vote to 11am ET Fri, amid need for compromise
as various GOP sides want different bill contents. 
- TOKYO: Senate GOP debate progress slowed late Thurs so vote delayed. That
spurred Tsys buying amd mixed Asian stocks performance amid risk-off mood. Tsys
aided by leftover month-end buying in long end, and Japanese lifers and pension
funds buying; others did 5/30Y flatteners. 
- LONDON: EGBs drew better buying, aided Tsys. Some bought 10Y around 2.40% key
level around 3:26am ET; end users and fast money bought intermediates. EGBs
aided as EU stocks sank amid apparent mistaken Fiat stock trade that spurred
algo selling; EU tech stocks -5% earlier. Eonia spiked UK Gilts sharply higher. 
- OVERNIGHT REPO: Tsy 5Y notes tight still at -1.25% but off extraordinarily
tight -3.5% Thur; also old 2Y, 3Y, 10Y mildly bid. 
- US SWAPS: Mixed, spd curve steeper vs. flattening in Tsys. Swaps had switch
around 2.0675-2.0875%, recent paying 5s, 10s, 5/10 steepeners. 
- US$ HIGH-GRADE CORPORATES: Nothing Friday so far. Will be busy week next week.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts are trading sharply higher, led by the 10-year part of the
yield curve, as there is fresh doubt on there being some form of agreement on
the Northern Ireland/Ireland border issue before PM May and EU Juncker meeting
on Monday. Even stronger than expected UK manufacturing PMI did not dent rally
in Gilts. 
- Gilt 10-yr yield is 4.3 bps at 1.285%. 
- The UK Committee for Exiting the EU have said that it is not possible to see
how the border issue in Ireland can be resolved after Brexit, casting doubt that
a way forward could be found ahead of crucial EU leaders Summit in 2-weeks time.
While Ireland are asking the UK to agree "wording" to avoid a hard border. 
- UK manufacturing PMI for Nov increased to 58.2, highest level in 4-yrs from an
upwardly revised 56.6 in Oct, beating consensus of a small rise to 56.5. 
- UK Breakevens have continued their tightening move as linkers lag rally in
nominal Gilts. 5-yr is 0.5bp tighter at 2.9%. Swaps spreads are wider by around
1.5bps with the exception of the 30-yr which is 0.5bp tighter.
EGB SUMMARY: European bond markets have been beset by a risk trade in the
morning. EGBs have risen almost as fast as equity markets have fallen. 
- There is a possibility that the start of the month has set off a small
re-balancing but early in European trade, stocks sank rapidly and there may have
been a fat-finger involved in Fiat stock that set off a round of algo selling.
European tech stocks are down by around 5%. The Bund 10Y is -4.2bp at 0.325%. 
- However, there was no respite and ahead of the Senate tax vote hike, investors
are likely reluctant to add risk. 
- Eonia's spike has attracted attention again. The best explanation seems to be
speculation that a bank stopped borrowing from the ECB MLF at 0.25% and switched
to interbank. With low eonia volumes, the resulting influence on average rates
was large. It also opens the possibility that the spike does not fully reverse. 
- Eurozone manufacturing data for November were largely a non-event printing
close to expectations and rising from 60.0 to 60.1. 
- France announced that it would sell only 4-5bln of OATs next Thursday and this
has helped the long end of France to outperform Germany slightly.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]

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