Free Trial

ASIA/US/EUROPE BD/STK RECAP:TSYS WEAK, STKS CHEER TAX PROGRESS

     US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries open NY lower after risk-on-asset buying
reaction to the Senate's passage early Saturday of its tax bill; stocks now bid.
Stocks also bid as ABC News backpedaled from its Friday report, corrected to say
that ABC source said Flynn said Trump allegedly as president-elect (not
candidate, as initially reported) directed Flynn to contact Russians; ABC
suspended reporter Brian Ross for 4 wks for the error. Ross also clarified to
say that Trump asking Flynn to contact Russians was to work on issues such as
fighting ISIS. 
- TOKYO: Tsys gapped lower on the Senate tax bill passage, then saw two-way
trade and dip buying, narrow range. 
- LONDON: Tsys sawa more two-way choppy action, with Tsys off day's low end
since about 2:36am ET when cash 10-year note yield moved lower from 2.412; that
yield then hit a 2.385% session low yield at 4am ET, now is at 2.395%. 
- US SWAPS: Steady/marginally mixed, 5Y tighter; receivers in 2Y, 10y and mixed
flows in others. 
- US HIGH-GRADE CORPORATES: Republic of Indonesia Baa3/BBB- 5Y/10/30Y, and
Westpac Banking 5Y, 5Y FRN. This week was expected to be a busy week of
high-grade issuance, likely the last such busy week before the year-end. 
- OVERNIGHT REPO: Tsys old 5Y, old 2Y notes tighten.
GILT SUMMARY: UK Gilts traded significantly lower led by the short-end, in-turn
bear flattening the yield curve as hopes of a Brexit deal edges closer. UK 10-yr
yield rose 5.7bp to 1.288%.  
- Gilts opened sharply lower weighed by late Friday night approval of US tax
reform plan by the Senate and reports that a Brexit deal is 90% there was also
seen weighing. 
- Markets were then stuck in lower range waiting for updates on Brexit talks,
especially on the Irish border issue which had not yet been agreed. Some of
these concerns crept into the FI markets and Mar Gilt future squeezed to fresh
session high following a block buy of 1.5k contracts at 124.35. 
- Newswire headlines saying that EU's Chief negotiator Michal Barnier had told
"MEPs that a breakthrough is likely today" then sent Gilts crashing lower. 
- PM May is scheduled to meet EU's Juncker and Tusk for lunch in Brussels today,
so all sides are trying to agree on a deal for EU leaders to consider next week.
- Swap spreads are tighter across the board while swap spreads are mixed.
EGB SUMMARY: The reaction to the Senate tax plan passage was strong but, in
fixed income at least, has been faded by investors. The 10Y Bund yield rose by
around 3bp from the start of European trading and initially drifted higher to
0.345% before buyers arrived and brought the yield down to 0.33%. 
- There appears no let up in the strong performance of the periphery with Spain,
Italy, Portugal and Greece all tightening by fairly decent amounts. the Bund-BTP
spread bounced off the 1Y low spread of 137.5bp and is currently sitting at
138.5bp. 
- Michel Barnier has apparently said that a Brexit breakthrough is likely today.
The Schatz and Bund contract both dipped slightly on the news. However, the
market has become somewhat numb to the ebb and flow of "deal is close, not
close, close again" type of headlines. 
- Belgian debt started heavy following a good rally on Friday but the decline by
peripheral spreads is taking that markets' spreads to almost 10Y lows.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]

To read the full story

Close

Why MNI

MNI is the leading provider

of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.

Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.