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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Get the latest on Central Bank Policy and FX & FI Markets to help inform both your strategic and tactical decision-making.
Free AccessMNI POLITICAL RISK - GOP Facing One Seat Majority In House
MNI US MARKETS ANALYSIS - USD/JPY Erases Election Rally
MNI US OPEN - RBNZ Cuts 50bps, OCR Forecast Slightly Higher
ASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STK RECAP: TSYS LOWER IN QUIET 2WAY FLOW
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries open NY weaker after overnight range, 2way
flow. 10Y 2.392% vs. 2.396% recent high yld. Data: 8:30am Oct trade bale, 9:45am
ET Nov Markit Services Index, 10am ET Nov Non-Mfrg ISM & Dec IBD/TIPP Optimism
Index, QCEW Emp.
- TOKYO: Tsys saw brief early bid, then drifted lower. Buying by pension funds
and Japanese lifers. But Asian real$ sold intermeds amid firm US$/yen. Nikkei
stk index -0.5%
- LONDON: Tsys rise off day's low starting 2am ET amid better buying in 2Y, 5Y,
10Y notes and credit-tied buying in 5Y, 10Ys; offset by sales in 10Y notes;
- US SWAPS; Steady/mildly tighter in wings; flatteners in 5/7Y, 5/10Y, 10/30Y.
- EURODLR FUTURES: Steady, mixed; short-end sales as US$ LIBOR set higher.
- TAXES: Sen/House tax bill reconciliation starts: Hse Ways & Means Comm Kevin
Brady to be reconciliation conf chairman.
- US HIGH-GRADE CORP ISSUANCE: Today: BNG $750M 3Y sust., Prov of New Brunswick
$500M global 5Y note, likely others.
GILT SUMMARY: UK Gilts are trading modestly higher, led by the long-end as time
ticks away for UK and EU to agree 'sufficient progress' on Brexit ahead of EU
leader Summit next week and UK service PMI slips more than expected.
- UK 10-yr Gilt yield is -1.3bp at 1.271%.
- Gilts opened marginally lower but very quickly reversed losses and crept
higher as markets digested ramifications of NI's DUP scuppering possible Brexit
agreement yesterday on Irish border concerns. Pressure was seen falling onto PM
May to try and get the DUP on side before the EU leaders summit on Dec 14.
- Gilt future then spiked to intraday high in reaction to UK service PMI
dropping more than expected to 53.8 in Nov from 55.6 in Oct. However faded gains
as the report showed prices charged rising at fastest pace since Feb 2008.
- The 5-yr Gilt re-opening auction was slightly disappointing as despite rise in
yield, demand dropped and the tail widened, which temporarily weighed on Gilts.
- 5-yr and 10-yr breakevens are 2.6bp and 2.2bp wider respectively, while swaps
spread are marginally wider led by the 1.1bp move higher in the 2-yr.
EGB SUMMARY: There has been a pretty solid, if unexceptional, bid to the EGB
markets this morning. In Germany, yields have declined fairly uniformly across
the curve although the 2-3Y area ran into some real money selling earlier in the
session. The Bund contract is in the middle of the daily bull channel that has
been evident since late October.
- Peripheral EGB markets have struggled to keep pace. Almost as soon as the
Italian 10Y yield hit the 2017 low of 1.70%, the BTP market began to
underperform the core.
- Eurozone Nov final PMI data printed in line with the flash estimate of 57.5
for the composite and 56.2 for the service sector. Eurozone retail sales sank
below expectations in October at 0.4%Y/Y although this indicator is unstable.
- Flows have mostly involved heavy roll activity with only around 48 hours
remaining for the Dec-17 contract.
- Austria announced that it would cancel its final auction of the year,
scheduled for Dec 12. This had been half-expected and failed to have a material
impact upon RAGB yields/spreads.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.