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Free AccessASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STOCK RECAP: TSYS IMPROVE
US TSYS SUMMARY: Treasuries short end and intermediate prices opened Monday
NY mildly higher, while 10Y traded roughly flat on the day but off 6:18am ET
price lows (98-23/32, 2.390% yield). US stocks futures are mildly higher. No
economic data today but Tsy sells $42B 3m bill auction and $36B 6m bill auction
at 11:30am ET; Tsy also sells 2/5/7Y auctions this week and 2Y FRN too.
- TOKYO: Tsys began mildly weaker, as Japan PM Abe held 2/3 majority in lower
house election. Selling occurred in 10Y Tsy futures and cash 5Ys, while real$
bought 2Y, 10Y notes. FX-tied selling as US$ rose vs. yen.
- LONDON: Flows turned more mixed, with futures have early buys and
short-covering in long end. Real money sold 10Ys, bank portfolios did two-way
flows vs. credit tied sales in belly. Asian central banks and UK asset managers
bought Tsys. Insurers bought 30Ys. US$ remains firmer.
- US SWAPS: Spreads mixed, spread curve flatter; prop rate receiving in
intermediates, recent 6Y receiving at 2.17%.
- CORPORATE BONDS: Quiet action Monday, but Citi to do benchmark 5Y/FRN and
11Y/NC10; others ramp up issuance for the week; CPPIB 10Y Tues.
GILT SUMMARY: The 10Y gilt yields have been trading sideways after an initial
push upwards early in the morning. Although the front of the yield curve has
come under higher pressure in turn bear flattening the yield curve.
- 10-yr Gilt yield is -1.3 bps at 1.318%. .
- In terms of data release, there was CBI Trends Total Orders, which game in at
an extremely poor level of -2. The survey is consistent with a picture of
relatively subdued UK growth with elevated inflation, however, there was muted
reaction from the gilts.
- On the Brexit front, there has been a push from business groups calling for a
transition deal to be agreed upon 'as soon as possible' according to the FT.
- UK breakevens are currently trading about 1.1bp tighter and swap spreads are
mixed with 2Y currently with 1.5bp wider while the 15Y is 1.5bp tighter.
- PM May is due to give an update to MPs on the EU Summit from about 1530BST,
which is likely to concentrate on Brexit.
EGB SUMMARY: The Bund yield opened around 1.5bp lower at 0.435% and it has
approximately stuck there though the session, as it is around -1.9 bps lower at
0.432% by 9:32am ET.
- Weekend political news in Spain/Italy failed to hurt Spanish or Italian debt
on Monday. This morning Catalonia announced that it would hold a Parliamentary
session on Thursday, one day ahead of the Central government Senate decision on
Art. 155.
- There have been some strong flows in the periphery with several hundreds of
millions of buying reported mid-morning. However, this could have been hedging
of a Bund-BTP block trade that showed up in the futures market (2,543 IKZ7 @
137.08 vs 2,148 RXZ7 @ 161.55 at 1004BST). In a brief period around this flow,
the Bund-BTP spread ratcheted in from 160bp to 156bp.
- Belgium conducted a 6Y, 9Y and 30Y auction that met with solid, if not
exceptional demand. The 6Y appeared strongest.
- Much talk of the massive French redemptions/coupon on Wednesday. At least
today, there is no obvious impact upon short-maturity OATs.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
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Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.