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of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.
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Free AccessMNI ASIA MARKETS ANALYSIS: Treasuries Surge On Bessent And Oil
MNI ASIA OPEN: Israel-Hezbollah Ceasefire Cautiously Reached
ASIA/US/EUROPE BOND & STOCK RECAP: TSYS OPEN NY FIRMER
US TSYS SUMMARY: Update: By 10am ET, Tsys had come off the morning
safe-haven bid rally highs amid shorts set into 11;30am ET 3Y auction and 1pm ET
10Y reopening.
US TSYS SUMMARY: *** Treasuries prices opened NY higher after safe-haven buying
after an apparent pipe bomb exploded at the nation's biggest bus terminal, NYC
midtown Port Authority Bus station (42nd and Eighth); CBS said suspect arrested
with another explosive device; suspect appears to be the one person injured.
- Tsy futures spiked higher on the news, made new highs and holding stable off
highs at moment. US equities futures mixed.
- TOKYO: Tsys opened with mild bid, range into London cross-over. Flow included
Japanese insurance portfolio buying in long end Tsys, 5s30s flatteners in cash.
- LONDON: Carry-over bid, curve bull flattened after NY subway blast. Long end
paring move amid news suspect is in custody. Sources reported sellers in 5s and
30s Tsys, pre-auction short sets.
- US SWAPS: Spds wider, spd curve flatter at moment; flow includes fast$
receivers in 5s earlier, paying in 2s and 5s during London hours.
- EURODLR FUTURES: Decent short end selling after higher 3M LIBOR set.
- US TSYS SUPPLY: Tsy sells 11:30am ET $24B 3Y auction, 1pm $20B 10Y reopening.
GILT SUMMARY: Gilts have rallied Monday morning led by the 10-yr part of the
yield curve as the shine comes off Friday's Brexit breakthrough agreement
following weekend political comments.
- 2-yr Gilt yield is -4.1bp at 0.462%, 5-yr -4.9bp at 0.724%, 10-yr -5.7bp at
1.222% and 30-yr -5.2bp at 1.796% according to Tradeweb.
- Gilts opened modestly higher and then quickly extended gains as Brexit
Secretary David Davis was interpreted saying in a televised interview on Sunday
that the Brexit agreement reached on Friday was not binding and that the exit
payment is contingent on reaching a free trade agreement. This brought short
rebuttal from Ireland saying the deal is binding and would hold UK "to account"
on it. The EU then said the Brexit report is not legally binding ans is a deal
between "gentlemen".
- There was a large 1.5k Gilt future block which as first appeared to be a buy,
but could of been a sale and reason for temporary halt in the Gilt rally
- Swaps spreads are wider led by 4bp widening in 2-yr, while breakevens are
modestly tighter led by the 1.3bp fall in 30-yr spread.
EGB SUMMARY: Bunds are modestly firm on Monday, responding mostly to the strong
performance by the Gilt market rather than anything domestic. the 10Y Bund yield
is 1.6bp lower at 0.291%, with most EGB curves flattening.
- The very long end of the EUR swap curve is performing particularly strongly,
dropping 2.1bp today and outperforming the cash market. There has been quite
considerable amounts of EUR swap activity going through the SDR. Judging by some
of the maturity dates of the swaps, some of the trades are unwinds.
- The only meaningful economic data release has already been seen. French
business sentiment for Nov remained stable at 106 in November, defying
expectations for a small rise to 107. Despite missing consensus, a level of 106.
Italian retail sales for October showed a 2.1%Y/Y decline.
- EGB supply is small this week and empty next. A E13bln Schatz redeems on
Friday.
- The 3m EURUSD cross currency basis has been volatile in the past week but and
has risen 1.5bp today, although it had moved more rapidly earlier in the
morning.
- 10Y Bund-BTP +1bp to 315.5bp, Bund-Bonos +1.7bp to 111.6bp.
--MNI New York Bureau; tel: +1 212-669-6432; email: sheila.mullan@marketnews.com
[TOPICS: MTABLE,MNUEQ$,M$U$$$,MR$$$$,M$$FI$,MN$FI$]
To read the full story
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Please enter your details below.
Why MNI
MNI is the leading provider
of intelligence and analysis on the Global Fixed Income, Foreign Exchange and Energy markets. We use an innovative combination of real-time analysis, deep fundamental research and journalism to provide unique and actionable insights for traders and investors. Our "All signal, no noise" approach drives an intelligence service that is succinct and timely, which is highly regarded by our time constrained client base.Our Head Office is in London with offices in Chicago, Washington and Beijing, as well as an on the ground presence in other major financial centres across the world.