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AUD Bounces Off Overnight Lows as China Stocks Erase Early Weakness

FOREX
  • AUD is the strongest currency on the day across G10, with AUD/USD bouncing off overnight lows of $0.7400 in a move that coincided with a late recovery in Asia-Pacific equities. After sustaining losses of close to 1% at the midday break, the Shanghai Comp rose sharply on the resumption of trade, resulting in a near 2.5% swing for the index - a move that will likely raise questions around potential official involvement via state-run pension funds.
  • GBP trades a little softer following jobs data this morning that showed payrolled employees rose by a smaller margin than forecast, with the February release also seeing a negative revision. GBP/USD edged to new lows of 1.2994 following the release, narrowing the gap with the first support of 1.2983 - the Apr 8 low.
  • Lastly, the USD Index is very slightly higher - rising around 0.2% into the NY crossover having erased opening weakness. Focus turns to the looming US inflation release as well as the formal beginning of US earnings season, which sees a number of large US bank names report this week.
  • Focus turns to the US CPI release, at which markets expect M/M CPI to rise to 1.2% and for the Y/Y release to hit 8.4% - the highest rate since the early 1980's.

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