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AUD/GBP: Firms Above 20-Day EMA On Monday

AUD

AUD/GBP has firmed ~2.3% since printing cycle lows in late April, breaking above the 20-Day EMA on Monday which had capped rallies in the pair since we broke below the measure in February.

  • Stronger commodity prices, Bloomberg Commodity Index rose ~0.7%, saw the pair firm ~0.5% on Monday and we now sit at £0.5370/80.
  • Bulls first look to target the high from April 14 at £0.5434, this opens up £0.5480 (high Apr 3) and £0.5557 (200-Day EMA).
  • Bears immediate attention is on the 20-Day EMA (£0.5358), a break through here opens year to date lows at £0.5253.
  • The next risk event for the pair is Thursday's Bank of England monetary policy decision. The bank is expected to raise the bank rate 25bps to 4.50%.

Fig 1: AUD/GBP Daily Spot, EMAs

Source: MNI/Bloomberg

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